Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e949385bf81fd13b077713c0df19adf9e65ff0ca5a3a14d28ee9f6a121d67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 24c | 2,600$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.97 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,344$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 1,840$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 1,042$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.62 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,032$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 7c | 749.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 553.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 61c | 317$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 38c | 311.57$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 178.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 63c | 151.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 22c | 131.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 71c | 113.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 31c | 103.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 78c | 88.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 79.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 64c | 78.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 34c | 71.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 75c | 66.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 64.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…2196backed Over | 33c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 69c | 56.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 36c | 54.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…e6dbbacked Over | 49c | 49.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…49a7backed Over | 60c | 44.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 38.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 72c | 33.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…4248backed Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…e39dbacked Over | 35c | 30.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…7c2abacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 71c | 24.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…87e2backed Over | 46c | 22.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…0929backed Under | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5this page
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.