Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2b6d89923a5caf2747932a217373f5adee8488cc84ea708bf6068daf8b1fa4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 40c | 1,832$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 1,530$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 11c | 1,432$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 1,066$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.08 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 26c | 563.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 311.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 56c | 178.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 61c | 160.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 11c | 106.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 71c | 94.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 42c | 80.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 74c | 63.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 27c | 40.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 64c | 39.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4941backed Over | 65c | 22.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 48c | 21.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Over | 63c | 17.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5this page
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)Telstar 1963 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.