TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Over49c19,969$9,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,782.1513050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c9,919$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.448246.3%38 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c6,981$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.335,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over50c5,837$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.3718940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c3,481$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.417,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over35c2,890$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.47138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under77c1,920$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.557651.3%39 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over63c1,425$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c1,153$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.9726060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd307…f4d1backed Under75c1,143$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over34c1,088$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4826949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c1,071$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.492,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010435.6%37 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over27c977.09$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.473030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c858.79$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.212,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c793.71$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5614560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over53c790.77$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.241560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over26c764.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c764.38$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.213662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over65c747.57$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c718.77$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.821,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c714.36$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4320953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under51c659.06$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.16962.3%43 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under70c563.86$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.471030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over37c551.47$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1722727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over26c551.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.345817.2%10 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under37c539.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1210944%48 W · 61 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c531.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4316826.2%44 W · 124 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Over36c520.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.771580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+46.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under77c507.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5750146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c504.58$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.217850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over26c500.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.085552.7%29 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3308554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c489.37$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.392,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under34c450$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29710753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over48c446.05$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.13050%15 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under53c431.48$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.84355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under52c414.67$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.95464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under51c413.42$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8711758.1%68 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.884141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under75c394.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.932763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over27c391.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0798552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over65c376.54$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.755362.3%33 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under62c356.14$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.531952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over66c345.9$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over42c344.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over50c313.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.744839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b52…cc99backed Over47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over65c301.23$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.84671.7%33 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under34c299.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.996651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under34c299.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.997152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over43c299.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e2…13ffbacked Under65c289.02$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.02580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c257.06$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1140958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Over17c249.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over43c248.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.983056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over49c247.47$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.172941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c244.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4830656.2%172 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c241.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5732259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under50c237.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5711354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over28c233.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6312047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Under36c222.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c219.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.59463.8%60 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under73c217.4$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.725459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c213.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.532,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under69c210.68$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.994553.3%24 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Under51c209.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c199.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.584037.5%15 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over63c192.08$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.011154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under36c188.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8822542.7%96 W · 129 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under73c186.75$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.186958%40 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c184.65$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8215157.6%87 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over48c183.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.161540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410028%28 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over62c178.32$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.913076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over41c169.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.766563.1%41 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.844252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…d5e6backed Under66c149.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under51c143.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7919156.5%108 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under71c140.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.64669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Over32c139.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.641050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+148.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over22c130.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3443721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under71c125.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.991258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over25c124.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.241,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over24c118.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.724946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c105.23$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.015962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over30c103.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.253748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under74c102.69$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.616759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over44c102.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.629247.8%44 W · 48 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c100.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.051,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4193845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over64c97.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.622466.7%16 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Under54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.824062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over41c89.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.883151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c89.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.136959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.