Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7dbd0dda0429e6faa9df7f9f8e980d73f9c06d05945a1d9c34c19994452a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 32c | 30,451$9,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,706.65 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 30c | 8,160$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.47 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 7,780$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Yes | 69c | 7,001$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 6,074$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.91 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 4,928$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.53 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 4,168$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.64 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 35c | 2,203$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,036$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.89 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 35c | 1,930$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.69 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 70c | 1,850$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 1,840$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.09 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…7c31backed Yes | 69c | 1,447$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,420$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…5fb5backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed No | 35c | 1,296$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed No | 49c | 1,018$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed No | 35c | 870$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 28c | 865.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.77 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 30c | 832.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.07 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 831$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…612ebacked Yes | 65c | 812$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 35c | 799.92$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.95 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 35c | 788.92$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…4e12backed Yes | 65c | 710$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 55c | 627.9$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 575$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.06 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 52c | 570.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…3157backed Yes | 65c | 484$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 60c | 469.81$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 43c | 442$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 57c | 420$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 396.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 28c | 347$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 343.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 49c | 332.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 310$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 304.61$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 65c | 290$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 29c | 272.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 35c | 270.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 70c | 260.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 260.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 33c | 250.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 69c | 247.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 69c | 244.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 31c | 176.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…2fccbacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 37c | 157.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 64c | 156.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed No | 37c | 156.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…0246backed Yes | 64c | 149.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed No | 36c | 145$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…31b5backed Yes | 69c | 144.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…51d0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed No | 31c | 137$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…9af7backed Yes | 63c | 111$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 63c | 110.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 66c | 106.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 56c | 99.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ef…d6b2backed Yes | 66c | 93.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will AZ vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.