La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca1ba8c512de597dde43c9db7b4738f55f43ae83af07a197e8ef255b941106d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 5,867$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 62c | 2,035$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.91 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 2,013$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.37 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 63c | 2,000$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 54c | 1,781$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.42 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 64c | 1,550$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.61 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Under | 40c | 1,436$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…eeb4backed Over | 31c | 1,288$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 78c | 1,103$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.9 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.17 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 41c | 1,050$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.59 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Under | 80c | 1,009$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 989.14$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 968.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.29 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 76c | 956.66$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -5.2wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…ae71backed Over | 78c | 877.94$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 838.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 47c | 801.21$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 694.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.45 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 76c | 620.73$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Under | 60c | 601.13$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.27 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 71c | 509.89$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 24c | 499.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.54 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 443.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 39c | 412.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 69c | 408$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Under | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Under | 44c | 365$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 56c | 340$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 49c | 318.71$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 32c | 299.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Over | 49c | 297.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 40c | 264.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 263.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 256.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 253.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…addabacked Under | 41c | 242.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 34c | 221.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 51c | 220$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 47c | 211.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 196.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 54c | 186.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 38c | 174.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 49c | 171.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 64c | 162.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…e696backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 158.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…64a8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 75c | 125.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Over | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 117.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 47c | 116.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 97.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 41c | 97.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 69c | 91.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 37c | 89.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…dd62backed Under | 50c | 78.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 48c | 78.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 74c | 78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Over | 77c | 76.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 59c | 71.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Over | 61c | 70.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 75c | 69.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 77c | 67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 33c | 61.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Over | 37c | 58.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 41c | 56.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 55.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.