La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80238c8add250ef6a2672f59dcfa4b563a3359aee9f808509de44012821b6b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 5,608$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 40c | 3,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Under | 42c | 1,941$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 71c | 650.2$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 8c | 641$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 18c | 552$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 75c | 536.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 469.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…b369backed Over | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 67c | 355.22$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 61c | 329.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 79c | 253.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 207.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 60c | 199.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 199.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 28c | 180.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 60c | 166.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…dc72backed Over | 60c | 166.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 138.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 126.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 57c | 93.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…5079backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 68.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…d550backed Over | 67c | 66.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 76c | 66.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 69c | 45.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Under | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 77c | 39.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 69c | 36.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…a10abacked Over | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Over | 68c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.