TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under48c64,556$30,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,578.764852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over55c29,177$15,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,936.414942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c27,566$13,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,213.564,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Over55c21,724$11,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,923933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c20,193$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,500.2624145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over57c10,175$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.8120054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c9,628$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,239.5764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9906944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c5,139$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.71,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over52c5,100$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6631844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under45c3,623$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.6610245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5607353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0804141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c1,725$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under59c1,690$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.531145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c1,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under75c1,144$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.295232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3615446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c924.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c896.25$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.41,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over53c547$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9115851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over52c540$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over40c527.33$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.413728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under45c499.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under43c448$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.368457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under47c444.93$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.812556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c429.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.772,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.421849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under47c402.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2431745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over52c340$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over52c330$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.617648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over52c330$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over29c315.66$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6711855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over53c309.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over32c308.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f1…6109backed Under49c289.09$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Under69c288.78$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over54c277.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under58c257.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.226478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c250.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.971,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13043255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under49c243.75$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.423850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c217.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4214647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under46c206.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5120452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over53c205.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c199.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over31c193.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over46c190.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.69649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.47951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.411952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.47045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.49945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.411346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over31c161.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.220949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under44c147$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.748751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…fff3backed Under72c139.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over31c137.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4813052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Under44c136.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.941060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under45c125.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.226962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over33c121.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.414157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.419352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.49247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.418853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.419053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.49343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.415747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.421626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c119.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over44c113$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.726752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.