TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c7,655$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19e…c764backed Over65c5,290$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over74c2,649$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.153100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c1,405$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.622,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over77c1,281$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over60c830$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c706.7$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0438047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under40c688.13$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.472650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over67c577.69$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c532.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-76.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under44c447.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0114552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under44c447.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0111443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over74c426.68$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6912633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over44c391.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over75c329.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.491060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x384a…06fabacked Over78c316.28$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under26c312.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.163542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Under63c282.48$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c266.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.92,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051a…6c9fbacked Over77c260.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under20c252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over75c251.84$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.741586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+49.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under69c248.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.763357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under69c244.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under69c242.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.458254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c219.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.623949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over80c219.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.877767.5%52 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x151e…c6dbbacked Under64c199.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over58c198.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.132653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over74c198.6$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c162.26$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Over75c160.56$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.142487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over15c158.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.149056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.143145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over26c139.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3510344.7%46 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over74c132.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.833961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Over77c127.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c124.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Over35c119.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.581729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over42c108.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.652352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under54c105.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over38c98.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.446944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under24c87.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0416856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under69c86.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.124461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under69c86.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.125265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under24c82.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9137926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c80.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2314767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c80.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.231,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over75c78.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd4…c292backed Over74c74.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over42c66.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over35c65.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under42c64.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.795263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under22c64.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a98…1071backed Over75c61.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under69c56.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.263855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…bf04backed Over74c55.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over65c53.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over25c53.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c9…bf73backed Under27c53.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under26c49.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.775850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e1…f770backed Under69c48.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over42c47.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6301…657fbacked Over76c45.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under61c39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.778733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over45c38.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed Under27c37.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Over42c37.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under69c35.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.544151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under77c33.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Over38c33.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under38c33.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.697848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5a…e224backed Over74c33.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under34c32.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.212347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9118…f064backed Over59c29.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d7b…c2f4backed Over74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4947…d93abacked Over80c24.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Under56c23.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Over74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over59c18.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.461275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.49164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0574…ffc9backed Over72c15.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x475a…84ddbacked Under71c14.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.