Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e3aac99b8bb2c37191e532aa5bbbd741565b27a11eed1ad8618e1f940abdf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,393$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 858.5$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 528.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.09 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 58c | 419.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 374.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 48c | 297.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 263.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 48c | 240.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 211.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 55c | 211.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 56c | 209.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 202.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 197.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…b806backed Yes | 58c | 129.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 122.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 55c | 105.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…3873backed Yes | 58c | 97.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 91.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 55c | 88.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Yes | 56c | 84.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes | 57c | 82.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…2085backed Yes | 60c | 78.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…4959backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…a21abacked Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 50c | 49.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 27c | 46.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…7205backed Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b3…b23dbacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…dd09backed Yes | 58c | 33.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 43c | 28.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 71c | 24.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 68c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.