Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca8869cd49a46f6469b8e6e9f3c3329b08465842be906f7cc88babb90b657be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 49c | 19,655$9,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,951.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 15,583$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.99 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 10,794$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 49c | 9,225$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 3,194$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 2,627$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.73 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 1,492$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 70c | 1,378$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 50c | 1,291$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 1,082$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.09 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 51c | 1,079$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 76c | 750.07$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 714.57$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.27 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 12c | 660.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.79 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed Under | 52c | 590$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 50c | 584.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 50c | 583.9$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 547.37$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.38 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 14c | 525.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 51c | 455.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 390.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 75c | 363.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…3655backed Over | 73c | 315.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 13c | 298.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.06 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 50c | 231.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 231.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 50c | 231.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 51c | 229.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 50c | 227.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 219.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 212.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 49c | 212.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Over | 50c | 189.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 74c | 181.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 12c | 152.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 130.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 130.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 130.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 50c | 130.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 50c | 130.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 129.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Under | 50c | 106.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 49c | 99.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 93.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 27c | 89.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 50c | 87.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 49c | 76.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…9ab6backed Under | 50c | 75.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 48c | 69.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 56c | 63.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed Over | 49c | 59.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 75c | 59.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 58.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Under | 50c | 57.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 73c | 47.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Over | 49c | 45.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 49c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Over | 49c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 49c | 36.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 51c | 35.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 52c | 32.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 51c | 30.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 48c | 29.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 76c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 52c | 22.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…3d5cbacked Over | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 56c | 19.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.