Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd861b366019152cbb28c6bc0a5e0a42a9dc36a99dcce8bb218103616e269106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 64c | 3,352$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.55 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 68c | 2,968$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.36 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Under | 16c | 2,480$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 36c | 1,785$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 1,678$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.78 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 69c | 1,422$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 1,289$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Under | 33c | 1,152$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.08 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Over | 77c | 769.59$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 64c | 756.15$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 718.41$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 710.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 55c | 708.54$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 608.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 80c | 371.46$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 77c | 320.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 281.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 207.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 189.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 76c | 165.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 25c | 122.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 98.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 24c | 90.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 57c | 80.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 75c | 80.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Under | 40c | 71.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 70c | 62.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 57c | 56.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…6910backed Under | 26c | 40.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 60c | 39.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…df6cbacked Over | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…76e9backed Over | 75c | 34.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 47c | 30.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…7673backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 44c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 77c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.