Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a490c28a2d35c69b04f10d2122e783c110730cc85cfe4019f6a3c82a3e8da94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Internazionale Milanoof Como 1907, FC Internazionale Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 78c | 644.48$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Como 1907 | 17c | 415.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Como 1907 | 12c | 206.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Como 1907 | 26c | 137.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed FC Internazionale Milano | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Como 1907 | 20c | 120.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Como 1907 | 13c | 111.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Como 1907 | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Internazionale Milano | 76c | 86.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Como 1907 | 43c | 84.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Como 1907 | 45c | 82.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Como 1907 | 44c | 77.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…0551backed Como 1907 | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 79c | 52.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Como 1907 | 56c | 48.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed FC Internazionale Milano | 79c | 37.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FC Internazionale Milano | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 53c | 26.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.