Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20b7c377f71de1d8d0087264d35eae9fffec66458bbd94ec7cc7d9df6cd6f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 6,229$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 28c | 3,410$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.98 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 3,329$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 1,344$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.13 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 73c | 1,011$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed Under | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 17c | 637.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 38c | 439.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 30c | 415.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 344.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 17c | 313.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 77c | 295.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.79 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 274.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 80c | 247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 51c | 217.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 201.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 14c | 199.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 30c | 191.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 31c | 185.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 14c | 117$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 26c | 114.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 113.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 51c | 109.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 50c | 96.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 63c | 88.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked Under | 19c | 60.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 27c | 54.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 71c | 50.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 49.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Under | 73c | 47.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 47.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 74c | 46.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 25c | 42.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 41.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 79c | 37.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Under | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 45c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 48c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Under | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464d…d99bbacked Under | 63c | 23.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…3ba4backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.