Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac74a0513cccc90d458bca3fa754470952f8571e81ee67a1b316ad70c1cbaa52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,772 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7a4…1f80backed No | 12c | 12,323$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2649…3366backed No | 0c | 11,603$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…220cbacked No | 1c | 4,125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…293ebacked No | 1c | 3,909$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d0…85b0backed No | 3c | 3,642$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 41c | 3,592$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.48 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,291$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…1920backed No | 1c | 3,278$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…1b94backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 2c | 2,229$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 2c | 2,033$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 1,906$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 1,860$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…0fd5backed No | 25c | 1,412$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 1,390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 14c | 1,300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 15c | 1,300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 8c | 1,224$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 1,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed No | 1c | 1,117$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 25c | 941.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a8…62c9backed No | 7c | 940.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 940.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 768.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…b1d3backed Yes | 31c | 755$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 692.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked No | 69c | 678.84$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 3c | 662.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed No | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…8642backed No | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…4786backed No | 9c | 586.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 37c | 578.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.61 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked Yes | 26c | 569.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.73 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 72c | 551.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 69c | 550$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 17c | 550$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 61c | 531.1$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed Yes | 39c | 514.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked No | 14c | 500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 499.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeea…672cbacked No | 7c | 470.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 14c | 455.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…573dbacked No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 430.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 399.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 368.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 67c | 310$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 73c | 307.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 72c | 305.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…f038backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked Yes | 33c | 298.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…f226backed Yes | 28c | 228.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…0deabacked Yes | 38c | 216.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 23c | 216$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…b278backed No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 202.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed No | 9c | 191.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed No | 60c | 162.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +201.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c406backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 35c | 137.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…1b19backed No | 22c | 136.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 129$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…22fdbacked Yes | 49c | 126.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…52dcbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…c593backed No | 28c | 119.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…db89backed Yes | 28c | 107.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…22a8backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe485…f7eebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…a2f8backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 62c | 94.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed No | 26c | 94.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529e…33e3backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 86.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 25c | 80.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…c203backed No | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 66c | 78.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…08f0backed Yes | 30c | 75.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 25c | 73.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…0506backed Yes | 30c | 67.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed Yes | 75c | 63.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fe…b5d1backed No | 70c | 63.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 23c | 62.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 40c | 60.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 54c | 55.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed Yes | 21c | 52.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 30c | 51.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 24c | 51.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.