Middle East · resolved market
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x105aa178ee306e4d0a366d8b21990c36fe3ca1dee9dabdc1208c7b7f12f51031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cfe…74dabacked No | 45c | 12,041$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…e8f5backed Yes | 72c | 6,810$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 72c | 4,887$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 59c | 4,720$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.27 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 44c | 4,711$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.56 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…e56abacked No | 40c | 3,983$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 30c | 3,258$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 30c | 3,185$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.69 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked No | 25c | 3,156$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.08 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…aab6backed Yes | 74c | 3,134$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +310.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…ce76backed No | 37c | 3,100$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 67c | 2,757$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.9 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 55c | 2,559$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.48 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…8245backed Yes | 56c | 2,311$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 74c | 1,764$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.7 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 1,757$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.76 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 64c | 1,750$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 1,620$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.42 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 33c | 1,499$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.89 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 1,319$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 30c | 1,253$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 25c | 1,236$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.44 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 20c | 1,218$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 55c | 1,172$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 72c | 966.64$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 71c | 962.33$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…fbd7backed Yes | 53c | 767.71$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 46c | 736.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.72 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 50c | 701$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…3611backed No | 50c | 701$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked No | 28c | 666$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 34c | 634.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 28c | 600$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked Yes | 56c | 563.3$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 58c | 557.42$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 45c | 537.45$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 75c | 521.44$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.21 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Yes | 38c | 463.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 23c | 456$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 52c | 414.46$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 53c | 402.07$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 52c | 390.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 54c | 383$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.23 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 32c | 364.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 45c | 359.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 24c | 359.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 66c | 352.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 38c | 319.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…0451backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 67c | 290$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…6f8dbacked No | 66c | 260$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…6b3abacked No | 39c | 252.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +12.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 52c | 252$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 63c | 250.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…317fbacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 49c | 246.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 53c | 243.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 57c | 233.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 27c | 209.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 35c | 187.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 65c | 176.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 146.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed No | 33c | 143.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…4b82backed Yes | 64c | 133.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…b7b4backed Yes | 52c | 130.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 37c | 128.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked No | 34c | 125.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 56c | 118.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 42c | 114.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed No | 36c | 113.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked No | 27c | 112.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 53c | 108.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 24c | 103.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 47c | 103.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…26eabacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 26c | 97.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 62c | 93.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked No | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed No | 34c | 89.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 41c | 86.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 52c | 80.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 48c | 77.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No | 52c | 77.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 44c | 68.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed No | 47c | 64.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed Yes | 77c | 64.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 47c | 61.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1c8dbacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?this page
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.