Middle East · resolved market
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10da72ad6ca4cf3f7deb9a0ad11ccd477e5feca81990b53dfb0c72142c5eb1c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cfe…74dabacked No | 72c | 12,541$9,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 28c | 6,565$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.71 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 48c | 5,551$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.73 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 21c | 4,869$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.48 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 47c | 4,711$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.01 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 25c | 4,133$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…ce76backed No | 77c | 3,107$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…e56abacked No | 78c | 3,012$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 77c | 2,904$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.4 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…aab6backed Yes | 26c | 2,857$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +310.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 22c | 2,625$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 77c | 1,921$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 49c | 1,783$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.61 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 24c | 1,518$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 71c | 1,478$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.17 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…6e6dbacked No | 78c | 1,286$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 63c | 1,250$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 32c | 1,172$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,151$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 1,072$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Yes | 26c | 973$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 66c | 948.3$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.22 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 22c | 868$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 32c | 736.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…6f8dbacked No | 74c | 729.47$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…b7b4backed Yes | 29c | 646.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 29c | 590$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked Yes | 36c | 563.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 43c | 548$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.36 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 487.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked No | 57c | 444$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 67c | 409.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 72c | 404.41$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 27c | 400.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Yes | 26c | 380.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…8245backed Yes | 23c | 362.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 359.43$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 42c | 358.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 79c | 342$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…4e83backed No | 40c | 317$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…0451backed No | 59c | 314.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 63c | 313.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 36c | 300.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 23c | 292$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 77c | 254.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 73c | 251$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 35c | 202$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 195$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…fbd7backed No | 73c | 191.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed Yes | 26c | 189.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 29c | 189.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 66c | 183.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 173.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…4b82backed Yes | 31c | 164.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 69c | 158.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…b879backed No | 77c | 142.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 141.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 29c | 140.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Yes | 26c | 137.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -89%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 23c | 135$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 65c | 120.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 116.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 29c | 115.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 112.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 106.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 74c | 103.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes | 30c | 103.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…6b3abacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +12.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9e7cbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed No | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 74c | 88.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 66c | 86.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…f826backed Yes | 32c | 80.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 64c | 77.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No | 64c | 77.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 29c | 71.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 25c | 59.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 64c | 58.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?this page
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.