Fifa International · resolved market
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585216ad337d03eac1aed185eb194cb48144b39c0e044847f3f3218c4489ec6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 65c | 33,830$22,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,026.66 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 34c | 25,054$8,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,535.75 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 36c | 24,111$8,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,322.32 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed No | 34c | 21,613$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,264.45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 38c | 12,579$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,737.76 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 38c | 12,000$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,469.97 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 37c | 8,115$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.34 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 65c | 7,648$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.27 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Yes | 65c | 6,394$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 4c | 5,294$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.03 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…440abacked Yes | 11c | 4,573$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Yes | 68c | 4,427$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 39c | 3,700$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.78 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 36c | 3,411$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.13 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 35c | 3,400$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.96 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…0626backed Yes | 66c | 3,190$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 35c | 2,510$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.49 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…3715backed Yes | 67c | 2,168$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 71c | 2,012$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.57 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…cef9backed Yes | 67c | 1,739$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9421…6889backed Yes | 66c | 1,667$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…270dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 1,590$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 67c | 1,581$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Yes | 65c | 1,566$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 1,478$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.72 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…5cf6backed Yes | 66c | 1,430$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 1,430$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.46 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…281abacked Yes | 66c | 1,396$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6352…6726backed Yes | 63c | 1,340$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,339$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 33c | 1,285$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.02 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 35c | 1,256$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.58 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed No | 36c | 1,202$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.18 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.97 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 37c | 1,110$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.65 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 31c | 1,069$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,069$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.29 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 63c | 1,066$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.73 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…045bbacked Yes | 67c | 910.11$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…8dcabacked Yes | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 26c | 890.2$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 26c | 890.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.74 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fff…28bebacked Yes | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 65c | 877.44$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.34 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 65c | 793.16$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.26 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 2c | 720.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 40c | 700.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.95 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 46c | 693.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…1430backed Yes | 65c | 681.34$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…ebc4backed Yes | 67c | 676.21$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked No | 35c | 655.16$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 64c | 627.2$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.83 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 586.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.25 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 64c | 514.67$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.39 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…5594backed Yes | 65c | 506.94$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.16 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed No | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…d39cbacked Yes | 63c | 464.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…b22fbacked Yes | 68c | 435.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…dd49backed Yes | 64c | 405.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed No | 36c | 401.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 31c | 400.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 393.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 381.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…d454backed Yes | 65c | 369.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 6c | 359.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 34c | 358.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed Yes | 21c | 357.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 340$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Yes | 9c | 328.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 64c | 314.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…91e1backed Yes | 58c | 313.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 37c | 308.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 43c | 305.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…bcbfbacked Yes | 64c | 279.14$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…6d1bbacked Yes | 5c | 278.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 34c | 258.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 36c | 250.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 247.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 16c | 246.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…9158backed Yes | 57c | 244.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 36c | 232.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 226.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 63c | 222$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 204.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…1586backed Yes | 64c | 196.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed Yes | 64c | 185.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Spain finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.