Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9fcfc4af7a7c5917c56724e38171fd2c3a280b27f9276da56cf2623662a000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed No | 70c | 707.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 33c | 677.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 67c | 601.3$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e42…8807backed Yes | 31c | 509.68$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 70c | 248.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 70c | 187.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 152.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 63c | 149$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca4…abb1backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 62c | 17.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 70c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 66c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.