Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03239e9fc9f476dd9ce0b4a584c058adaed752bbf0a98de179c84d74fa0fcf9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 11,743$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 75c | 10,858$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,191.15 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked No | 0c | 10,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 4,254$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 49c | 3,798$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 17c | 3,353$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.82 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 3,299$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.12 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 3,069$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.54 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 2,782$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.36 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 2,495$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 17c | 2,389$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 2,329$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.93 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,262$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.82 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed Yes | 49c | 1,994$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 80c | 1,583$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.68 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,554$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 1,539$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.39 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,289$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.98 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 21c | 1,194$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.69 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 39c | 1,159$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.32 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 1,081$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.69 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 20c | 924.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 80c | 712.65$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.73 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 21c | 690.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.88 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 54c | 600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 593.21$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.57 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked Yes | 27c | 581.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 571.66$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 524.11$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 79c | 459.98$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.39 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 449.45$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…1a4abacked No | 3c | 447.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 39c | 417.85$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 21c | 411.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…d367backed No | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 382.77$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 20c | 347.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 333.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 52c | 330$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 71c | 320.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 27c | 296.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 296.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 16c | 217.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 28c | 216$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 79c | 203.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 196.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…4e22backed Yes | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 19c | 182.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1663…2074backed Yes | 49c | 181.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed No | 59c | 179.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 51c | 177.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 161.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 160.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 25c | 156.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 49c | 154.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 9c | 150.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 35c | 144.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 21c | 142.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked No | 79c | 126.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 80c | 125.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 76c | 117.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 110.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 108.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 102.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…c3b6backed Yes | 48c | 97.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 21c | 92.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 20c | 87.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Yes | 50c | 84.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 75.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 78c | 68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 27c | 66.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 52c | 66.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…98c0backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 58.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 27c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 50c | 57.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 52c | 52.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.