Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac14d240f445d2c037ea5333ba0a0ebcca13a5df4b3c8774c278b4fda7a4a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 64c | 24,753$15,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,910.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 38c | 19,256$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.28 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 13,691$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 44c | 11,041$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 36c | 9,214$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.03 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 36c | 6,309$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.24 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 5,722$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.78 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 5,026$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.29 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 4,274$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.13 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 63c | 3,911$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.14 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 3,489$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.85 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 37c | 3,280$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.68 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 61c | 3,202$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 60c | 2,504$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.39 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 2,231$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.2 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 38c | 2,027$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.18 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 1,887$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.13 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed No | 62c | 1,877$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…afd3backed Yes | 40c | 1,873$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 1,732$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 61c | 1,226$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 38c | 1,189$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.76 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,145$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.8 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 4c | 1,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 35c | 1,121$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.04 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.15 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 1,015$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.18 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 56c | 986.56$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.53 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 32c | 965$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.9 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 17c | 840$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 799.96$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 59c | 742.49$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 34c | 708.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.92 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…82ddbacked No | 33c | 706.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 42c | 689.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 36c | 661.34$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.88 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 661.01$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 37c | 650.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 36c | 650$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…d7e0backed No | 33c | 649.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…4fe6backed No | 33c | 636.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…cff5backed No | 34c | 630.41$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 63c | 626.13$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.87 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…7ff3backed No | 33c | 591.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 567.03$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa85…cfe2backed No | 33c | 559.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b16…6a22backed No | 33c | 546.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 41c | 497.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 460.03$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.71 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 38c | 432.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 38c | 429$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 68c | 410.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 384.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 383.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 38c | 368.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 346.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 327.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked Yes | 39c | 308.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed No | 64c | 305.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 269.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 37c | 257.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 38c | 238.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 66c | 233.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 61c | 224$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 37c | 220.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 199.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 41c | 197.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 192.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 189.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 37c | 184.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 63c | 181.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 59c | 169.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 65c | 154.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 12c | 153.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 12c | 153.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked No | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 63c | 152.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 149$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…8297backed No | 59c | 147.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 75c | 131.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 122.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 62c | 119.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 118.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.