TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Yes26c7,323$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,411.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0191…93f0backed Yes70c6,277$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c5,896$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.672,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0f…325dbacked No75c5,253$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,94020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes26c4,899$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.47560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+193.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No14c4,141$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.846232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c4,112$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.6264043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes25c3,821$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No74c3,457$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.945945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No74c2,761$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.734757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c2,677$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.3469851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4805168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes32c1,512$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.7922669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No63c1,507$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.4113139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No1c1,295$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c1,057$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.361,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No50c1,051$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2212141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,032$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.773,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed No76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c977.85$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.611,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No72c915.88$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.432369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c793.93$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8749143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes26c668.92$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4952045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062c…36b0backed Yes25c653.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No75c651.41$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeac7…f1e7backed Yes25c636.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes26c586.74$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.192343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes25c566.48$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4633938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3015…5468backed Yes25c558.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes26c543.48$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.172245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No68c540.52$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.899052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2e…f089backed Yes25c531.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c511.08$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.229855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…b540backed Yes25c487.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No32c478.59$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5311356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…0a9ebacked Yes25c472.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c458.03$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.511,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf9…3d8ebacked Yes25c449.79$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked No75c413.7$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c412.22$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e3…8973backed Yes49c375.12$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes26c367.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.984924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c367.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.986940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c332.82$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1539857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No74c311.21$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.381732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes24c286.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.64025%10 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes72c251.07$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.134030%12 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes72c242.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4224541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15024322.2%54 W · 189 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No24c199.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1123842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No14c194.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2428241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c173.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.024555.6%25 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes51c172.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.92050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No66c150.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7910549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes27c145.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.574339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c139.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8342046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes78c138.49$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.54062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No68c130.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8914055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No65c127.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.452951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes56c116.28$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.653748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6084…5c17backed Yes26c110.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.59650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+90.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b3…7239backed Yes26c110.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.59944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes58c108.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.319354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf938…1249backed Yes66c108.39$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes23c103.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.834837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748458.3%49 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756442.2%27 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9928755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No74c99.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes23c98.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.296443.8%28 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes23c97.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.246946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c95.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4740744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c95.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9838845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes25c94.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5516846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No44c90.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.784030%12 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c88.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5533047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No58c88.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2927554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1a…27b0backed No75c78.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No77c77.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.193330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…2766backed Yes26c73.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes26c73.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.43636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c73.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.43228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c72.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0948141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c8e…fc1dbacked No30c69.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes38c69.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6612560.8%76 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Yes74c66.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c64.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2853140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Yes26c64.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.087247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes49c59.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.620645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9215160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes26c55.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No64c52.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.938844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.