Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c12c5435583aefdb486b8dd9c1160c074c3614ed5a0b2e3a794c62d6bd14cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Yes | 54c | 14,945$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 7,835$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 7,453$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.95 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 74c | 6,581$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.3 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 21c | 6,107$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.64 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 79c | 5,032$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 3,406$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.52 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 79c | 2,732$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 2,003$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.6 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 21c | 1,694$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 62c | 1,238$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 24c | 1,174$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 18c | 1,088$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 26c | 1,058$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.69 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 53c | 1,039$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 74c | 770.54$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.04 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 55c | 754.9$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.66 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 703.97$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.07 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 31c | 692.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…f3e8backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 42c | 460$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 37c | 332.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…bec2backed Yes | 63c | 318.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 79c | 267.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Yes | 79c | 250.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 70c | 237.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 27c | 207.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 76c | 195.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 24c | 179.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 19c | 165.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 151.75$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 47c | 151.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 133.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 60c | 133.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 118.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 74c | 112.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 16c | 109.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 43c | 108.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 67c | 107.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 27c | 105.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 101.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 19c | 97.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 24c | 91.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 27c | 83.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…e6c2backed No | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…be81backed Yes | 26c | 62.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 48c | 62.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…1ad5backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 80c | 52.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 52.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 50.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 22c | 49.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 36c | 33.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2a…a308backed Yes | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 53c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 79c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…84c8backed Yes | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…8903backed Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 75c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.