Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ac212cfaec4b1266ca9bb400f620ebb0b87ea8a6d8b4fad4e4ae7b73f14112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 51c | 29,000$14,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked No | 51c | 10,385$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 76c | 7,794$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 51c | 7,061$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.83 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 5,840$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.65 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 3,838$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.67 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 51c | 3,762$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…8e8dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,548$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…566fbacked No | 51c | 3,527$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 2,963$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.98 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 49c | 2,740$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.58 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 4c | 2,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 2,148$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…4667backed No | 51c | 2,084$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 75c | 2,004$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…80e6backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc415…92c2backed No | 51c | 1,987$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…d7cfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,983$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…b0b8backed Yes | 49c | 1,967$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…e985backed Yes | 49c | 1,886$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…92c7backed No | 51c | 1,786$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 1,436$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,286$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 867.39$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.89 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…157dbacked No | 51c | 835.29$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes | 27c | 826.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.26 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 51c | 596.08$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…bfd6backed No | 51c | 596.08$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 580.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 3c | 543.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 435.13$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.21 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 51c | 344$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 50c | 305$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…0d66backed No | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 19c | 293.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 260.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 51c | 241.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 20c | 234.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 50c | 224.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 205.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 14c | 175.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 26c | 163.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 65c | 157.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 51c | 154.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 23c | 148.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 22c | 140.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 119.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked Yes | 50c | 114.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 114.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed No | 51c | 108.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed No | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7e96backed No | 50c | 80.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 15c | 78.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 18c | 76.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed No | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 63c | 62.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 21c | 60.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.