Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4814df982d1fb6c475fa13b7797a372fde5042d29fa12b1c4daea6bbe3ab66e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 56c | 17,715$9,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 7,437$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.96 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 7,030$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 2,371$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 2,313$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.28 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 1,996$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.65 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.48 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,562$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 1,297$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.68 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 1,021$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.07 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 42c | 918$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 55c | 903.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 865.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 777.59$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.91 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 677.81$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.16 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 42c | 583.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 42c | 546.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 17c | 494.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 469.23$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 430.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 423.5$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 57c | 393.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.17 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed No | 45c | 369.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +245.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 281.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 259.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 42c | 221.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 55c | 198.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…8d55backed Yes | 55c | 187$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 33c | 179.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 160.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 19c | 156.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 51c | 154.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 153.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 56c | 153.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 55c | 125.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed No | 45c | 116.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 46c | 116.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 10c | 115.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +174%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -9.3wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…4f2abacked Yes | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 48c | 89.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 13c | 88.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 56c | 82.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 44c | 77.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…80aebacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 46c | 65.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed No | 43c | 65.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 48c | 63.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 20c | 57.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 46c | 54.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed No | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 45c | 52.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 46c | 47.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 45c | 36.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 32.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…1f3cbacked Yes | 37c | 32.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 30.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 56c | 30.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.