Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd662432b4e35a0263809aa7c62443db82ce34385837315559fd088af20540e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 4,262$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.93 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 17c | 2,337$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 602.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Yes | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 19c | 299.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…389abacked No | 77c | 292$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…009dbacked Yes | 23c | 292$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 8c | 270.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 19c | 221.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 20c | 135.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yes | 19c | 119.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 9c | 112.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 17c | 102.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 20c | 84.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…969abacked Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Yes | 18c | 71.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 40.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449b…6ac7backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.