Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03cfbd2c6f024c25f1835557fbef251d9e8994635585c13e4b7e9ba4354bdc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 30c | 23,438$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,488.23 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 73c | 13,028$9,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,510.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 73c | 7,783$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 7,283$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 60c | 4,403$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 4,179$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.93 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 63c | 3,906$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 3,839$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.53 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 1,672$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.45 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,509$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.88 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,460$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 63c | 1,108$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.02 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 23c | 971.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.41 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 41c | 918$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 6c | 623$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 27c | 365.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 60c | 331.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 24c | 206.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 170$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 32c | 168$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 161.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 158.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 51c | 150.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 76c | 147.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 57c | 140.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 55c | 135.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 73c | 112.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 27c | 111.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Yes | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 12c | 104.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 99.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 27c | 84.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked No | 15c | 73.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 65.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 27c | 63.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 17c | 59.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes | 34c | 58.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…ad72backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…418dbacked No | 47c | 42.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 29.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 71c | 23.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…5643backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.