TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,287 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over46c119,393$54,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,917.263250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c61,779$33,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,521.363,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c28,701$15,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,202.4152243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,50015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.994259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6803145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c6,272$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.0591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over46c5,004$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.975448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c3,648$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.8463857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.361650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c3,481$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.2943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c2,198$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.2476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.843050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over61c1,000$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.823461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over46c891.3$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over61c883.92$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.963740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over47c840.11$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.853839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over47c806.3$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37511449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over47c678.65$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.882330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over45c678$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.922425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c639.78$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.442,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under52c633.33$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9621835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c631.55$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c556.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over39c515.31$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over47c467$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.162433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under43c464.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c447.49$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0517956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Over48c413.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over46c369.97$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over37c349.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c298.24$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13826647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over41c293$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.062254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over46c239.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over49c223.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.44235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under53c221.77$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.239148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.65554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…08d0backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.219546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c180$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.323949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over45c177.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.115846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over57c174.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under54c170.92$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.084663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd867…2d76backed Over46c157.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under51c145.16$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.133161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under54c126$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0816856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under56c125.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8314963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under53c123.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.529048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Over49c119.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under57c116.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.261973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c110.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9710941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.64537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over46c108.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under51c107$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4312545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4714756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe44…74ffbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under38c93.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.26033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Under54c93.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.022250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.023369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c82.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.191,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over27c78.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c77.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over55c76.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.635248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under51c76.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.059958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Over64c75.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Over45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over46c74.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.419644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c71.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.221,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over50c67.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9117835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over30c66.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9837750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c64.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7135944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.28052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.