Europa Conference League · resolved market
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301f6fdf3201aded9dcff0cd5e56f3465ca1e765322a7c5c27c3ce3896f4ea86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,298 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,740$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 2,108$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.3 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 25c | 1,160$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 32c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 20c | 784.76$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 473.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 27c | 405$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 29c | 344.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 77c | 311.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 26c | 265.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 26c | 201.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 74c | 121.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 118.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 108.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 102.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 28c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 75c | 93.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Under | 71c | 88.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…e451backed Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 74c | 82.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under | 74c | 67.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 22c | 58.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 72c | 45.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 76c | 34.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…99f7backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 72c | 26.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…919cbacked Under | 79c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 18.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5this page
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KRC Genk (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)KRC Genk won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)KRC Genk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.