Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42320e192759885352a0ff835ac9f9c317984bb6eed1b86ce7990f8ad3b83459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 61c | 59,496$36,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,419.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 20,829$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,108.96 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 20,569$7,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,636.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 20,162$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,325.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 15,482$8,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,461.35 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 43c | 10,985$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263.86 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.94 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 60c | 7,945$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 61c | 3,868$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.38 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 3,811$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.63 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 2,720$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.18 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed Yes | 40c | 2,613$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 2,504$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.36 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 40c | 2,001$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 1,819$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.83 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 68c | 1,789$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.8 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 1,516$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.9 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,434$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.66 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 70c | 1,285$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.63 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…4342backed Yes | 44c | 1,275$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 70c | 1,060$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.89 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 1,011$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 999.98$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 43c | 920.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.63 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 41c | 748.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 43c | 661.21$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 603.45$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.67 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…d3dfbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 60c | 500.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 47c | 455.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 56c | 416.15$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 372.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 319.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 64c | 314.63$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 33c | 301.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 288.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 270.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 39c | 237$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 40c | 236.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 69c | 223.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 39c | 220.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 23c | 213.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 39c | 212.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 7c | 182.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 38c | 137.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 69c | 129.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…e727backed Yes | 41c | 121$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 61c | 116$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 112.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 12c | 89.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 87.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 49c | 86.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 39c | 84.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 70c | 80.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 39c | 73.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…7c6abacked Yes | 66c | 72.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…d36cbacked Yes | 46c | 64.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…421fbacked No | 61c | 62.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 56.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yes | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f0…c55bbacked No | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 68c | 53.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…b369backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 40c | 50.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 56c | 49.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 43c | 46.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 41c | 39.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.