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Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,952 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked No67c22,222$14,889 inWon+$7,333.261540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes33c22,036$7,272 inLost-$7,271.956251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes11c3,900$411 inLost-$410.7819139.8%76 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,670$2,708 inWon+$962.313,28842.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L-74.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes33c3,371$1,112 inLost-$1,112.366453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes15c1,580$243 inLost-$243.371,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,448$970 inWon+$477.851,69145%761 W · 930 L+6.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes30c1,249$372 inLost-$371.747335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c698.35$468 inWon+$230.4531145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes32c569.65$182 inLost-$182.2927138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c500$140 inLost-$14024432%78 W · 166 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c486.66$326 inWon+$160.9463152.3%330 W · 301 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes33c464.48$153 inLost-$153.288251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c424.39$67 inLost-$66.981,02444.4%455 W · 569 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes17c399.39$69 inLost-$69.157251.4%37 W · 35 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost-$1008632.6%28 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes32c212.94$67 inLost-$67.277935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes16c201.1$33 inLost-$33.0640257.5%231 W · 171 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No75c200$149 inWon+$518067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes33c200$66 inLost-$6616850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c179.46$29 inLost-$29.2324541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c157.89$16 inLost-$16.1614315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes18c149.99$27 inLost-$278636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon+$33.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x957f…8bb9backed No69c100.79$70 inWon+$30.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c91.33$18 inLost-$18.3386032.7%281 W · 579 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes17c86.65$15 inLost-$14.8528822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c85.17$60 inWon+$25.5539346.3%182 W · 211 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes23c82.61$19 inLost-$197319.2%14 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No69c72.64$50 inWon+$22.6417647.2%83 W · 93 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No67c51.29$34 inWon+$16.931090%9 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick75cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No67c45$30 inWon+$14.8515160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No79c31.55$25 inWon+$6.553943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes33c31.5$10 inLost-$10.418353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c29.01$19 inWon+$9.6843345%195 W · 238 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c25.09$20 inWon+$5.0548858.8%287 W · 201 L+45.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No68c23.57$16 inWon+$7.575054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf877…77e1backed No73c17$12 inWon+$4.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No73c16.78$12 inWon+$4.4612064.2%77 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked No74c15$11 inWon+$3.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9bb…f2dcbacked No79c13$10 inWon+$2.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.