Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dda59def8f3f09b55fae99c40c8a34e60477b1d2d89c7e01f748e00d564ef90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 30c | 83,132$24,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,713.79 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 28,878$20,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.19 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 3c | 22,704$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.95 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 12,276$9,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.09 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 8c | 11,189$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.1 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 4,622$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.65 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 4,491$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 27c | 3,833$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.47 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 75c | 3,414$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.75 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 3,216$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 3,031$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.53 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 1,597$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.3 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,207$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…a497backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 1,180$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,089$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…df93backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Yes | 23c | 999.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 898.47$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 76c | 896.48$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 845.69$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 22c | 612.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 28c | 526.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 9c | 451.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 436.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 31c | 416.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 11c | 356.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 298.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 74c | 269.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked No | 77c | 218.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 182.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 71c | 174.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 73c | 149.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 126.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 9c | 115.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 72c | 111$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 11c | 100.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 29c | 97.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 91.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 83.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 28c | 82.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 29c | 77.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yes | 30c | 76.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 70.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 56.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 73c | 48.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…08c0backed No | 73c | 47.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 43.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Yes | 31c | 42.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 73c | 40.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 73c | 33.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked No | 72c | 31.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 80c | 24.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 73c | 21.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…1e33backed No | 77c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.