Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4543e9ce67c157c2c9fb67c9d53b60cf42079bea0f7633f7e1e81bca3a8f0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,719 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 11,333$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048.15 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 6,423$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 4,687$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.83 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,656$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.92 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 30c | 3,445$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.18 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 2,300$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 1,612$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.52 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,153$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.57 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 1,118$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.27 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 967.04$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.07 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 30c | 525.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 388.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 59c | 344.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 322.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 66c | 286.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 31c | 268.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 205.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 56c | 201.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 30c | 173.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 144.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed Yes | 30c | 119.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked Yes | 28c | 116.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 30c | 110.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 70c | 104.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 51c | 79.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 28c | 61.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 57.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 53.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…73f5backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 31c | 43.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 51c | 42.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 62c | 42.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 68c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 72c | 38.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked No | 73c | 34.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 32.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked No | 44c | 32.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 63c | 30.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 27.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…6710backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 72c | 22.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.