World Politics · resolved market
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2a509a6423d4af22661e72e31af53ba208574dfc2244654eaa610244ae4287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49a1…eccabacked Yes | 1c | 64,346$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 5c | 55,651$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 23,953$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 16,013$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,316$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 110 | 0%0 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 1c | 5,725$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 2c | 408.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c8e8backed Yes | 12c | 235.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…ce77backed Yes | 12c | 233.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2f…0d79backed Yes | 12c | 227.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…b420backed Yes | 12c | 226.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…bb91backed Yes | 12c | 221.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…8f3fbacked Yes | 12c | 218.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?this page
- Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Yes won
- Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.