Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08506d2ef5e83a9b09abe226defa804feb761fff52d2bb5f5fa7b53a54d7fa47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof REBORN, Beşiktaş Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked REBORN | 58c | 3,349$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 37c | 1,606$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.22 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Beşiktaş Esports | 53c | 1,042$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked REBORN | 65c | 722.6$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 35c | 635.41$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Beşiktaş Esports | 34c | 619.08$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed REBORN | 72c | 421.25$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Beşiktaş Esports | 54c | 416.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed REBORN | 60c | 393.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REBORN | 61c | 303.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REBORN | 78c | 291.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Beşiktaş Esports | 33c | 198.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…437abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 8c | 195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…4a42backed Beşiktaş Esports | 8c | 191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed REBORN | 67c | 189.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Beşiktaş Esports | 38c | 187$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Beşiktaş Esports | 32c | 179.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 19c | 173.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…05fdbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 7c | 173$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 36c | 151.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed REBORN | 63c | 130.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Beşiktaş Esports | 8c | 129.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…14eabacked Beşiktaş Esports | 37c | 106.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…6023backed Beşiktaş Esports | 32c | 102.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 37c | 100.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REBORN | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beşiktaş Esports | 35c | 70.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Beşiktaş Esports | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Beşiktaş Esports | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 34c | 63.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Beşiktaş Esports | 36c | 57.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Beşiktaş Esports | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beşiktaş Esports | 38c | 49.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…3d09backed REBORN | 75c | 46.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked REBORN | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…e9b8backed Beşiktaş Esports | 26c | 40.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked REBORN | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed REBORN | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed REBORN | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed REBORN | 54c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…2859backed REBORN | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed REBORN | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: REBORN vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.