Euroleague · resolved market
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Manresa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c092b28d465781cc073ecf4b5b0b1edd7b3663568a0f09183f0ca45adc505b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basquet Club Andorraof Basquet Club Andorra, Manresa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Basquet Club Andorra | 67c | 4,229$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.48 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manresa | 34c | 1,719$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.56 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manresa | 33c | 1,427$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.52 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Manresa | 38c | 1,284$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.88 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Manresa | 17c | 1,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Manresa | 38c | 529.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Basquet Club Andorra | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 78c | 296$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Manresa | 46c | 269.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Basquet Club Andorra | 74c | 269.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Manresa | 39c | 218.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Manresa | 38c | 204.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Manresa | 38c | 177.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Manresa | 23c | 162.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Manresa | 30c | 147.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manresa | 20c | 146.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Manresa | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manresa | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…e9b8backed Basquet Club Andorra | 71c | 93.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Manresa | 34c | 85.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Manresa | 18c | 70.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Basquet Club Andorra | 72c | 49.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Manresa | 23c | 44.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Manresa | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Manresa | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Basquet Club Andorra | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Basquet Club Andorra | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.