TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof Ursa, ALGO Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa61c4,008$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.2684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ALGO Esports38c2,231$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.631,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked ALGO Esports46c1,960$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.6675056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Ursa64c1,850$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.5527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Ursa54c1,753$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4118356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed ALGO Esports39c1,080$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.27140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa57c1,066$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.2378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Ursa54c1,033$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.42,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed ALGO Esports39c683$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.373636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed ALGO Esports59c618.64$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1124551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Ursa63c615.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2648845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Ursa62c529.61$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed ALGO Esports37c499.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ALGO Esports49c452.54$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.014,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ursa52c372$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.241,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Ursa62c368.59$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ALGO Esports40c339.62$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.752,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports38c320.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.987,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed ALGO Esports49c305.01$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ALGO Esports42c299.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.992,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked ALGO Esports38c297$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0417142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa41c292.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3833950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed ALGO Esports46c290.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8827647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed ALGO Esports40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed ALGO Esports38c242.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0710248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Ursa54c239.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.438835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed ALGO Esports37c229.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9944343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Ursa61c229.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.511,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Ursa47c220.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.929948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ALGO Esports36c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Ursa46c199.96$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x533a…89aabacked ALGO Esports37c192$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.912630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Ursa39c171$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3136649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Ursa59c170.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.311949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ALGO Esports34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.43,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ursa65c159.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.422,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked ALGO Esports35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.522542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Ursa63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.388330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Ursa54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1530254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed ALGO Esports46c139.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9911254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed ALGO Esports36c138.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9923335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Ursa38c133.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.14450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked ALGO Esports38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa63c131.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.871,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed ALGO Esports50c128.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5122650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Ursa48c123.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5548635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed ALGO Esports38c119.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Ursa49c117.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.021,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed ALGO Esports38c106$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2833627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Ursa54c102.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0717236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Ursa49c101.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5614939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed ALGO Esports35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed ALGO Esports37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3765946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed ALGO Esports47c99.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6826245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed ALGO Esports18c94.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178322.9%19 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALGO Esports44c83.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.754,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Ursa61c78.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5349242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked ALGO Esports39c76.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.845863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked ALGO Esports38c75.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7846447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed ALGO Esports45c68.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.741,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked ALGO Esports38c62.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Ursa45c62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.15655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcab…e9b8backed ALGO Esports59c61.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ursa61c59.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.883,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ALGO Esports50c56.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.12,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ALGO Esports49c54.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.112,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ALGO Esports52c54.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.353,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Ursa62c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ALGO Esports38c52.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked ALGO Esports38c52.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked ALGO Esports37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.526448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Ursa63c49.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4433657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Ursa62c48.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6513954%75 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Ursa62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.246445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed ALGO Esports65c46.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011561.7%71 W · 44 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Ursa49c41.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3145450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5728…b961backed ALGO Esports61c41.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed ALGO Esports38c40.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked ALGO Esports38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed ALGO Esports38c36.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0815740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALGO Esports36c36.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.225,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Ursa39c35.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.926546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed ALGO Esports46c35.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1332951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed ALGO Esports36c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5267750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ALGO Esports47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Ursa63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7532956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Ursa63c31.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5776248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Ursa62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.357758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Ursa62c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.428856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa57c27.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed ALGO Esports48c27.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2639946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Ursa63c24.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.019157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ursa52c22.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.774,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed ALGO Esports55c21.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216048.8%78 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Ursa62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.612654.8%69 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked ALGO Esports71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.215854.4%86 W · 72 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed ALGO Esports68c16.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.323150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa63c16.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.992,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.