Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47b6d43e730e345d9099362bad8c035906aeda4a3f4adf4c8058fc6f6dcdcbd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 48,043$31,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,508.45 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 14,759$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.6 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 10,466$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 8,550$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.08 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Under | 79c | 3,811$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 42c | 3,610$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 18c | 3,229$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 38c | 2,903$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.2 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 2,590$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.16 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 51c | 2,360$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Over | 53c | 1,873$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 71c | 1,809$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 21c | 1,690$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.49 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 76c | 1,502$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 60c | 1,275$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.34 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 1,254$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.78 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 46c | 1,252$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 17c | 1,157$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 33c | 1,048$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 972.34$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 72c | 900.64$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 27c | 895$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 872.99$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.18 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 60c | 869.89$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.79 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 45c | 859.58$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 34c | 834$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.44 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 831.74$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.52 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Under | 73c | 818.57$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 3c | 812.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 687.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 671.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 669.86$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Under | 78c | 642.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 67c | 635.92$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 50c | 613.82$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 49c | 612.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 40c | 544.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…753dbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 521.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 38c | 513$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Under | 50c | 494.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 29c | 479.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.18 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 17c | 451.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.42 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 20c | 440.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 417.42$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 18c | 416.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 384.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 41c | 360.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 42c | 341.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 39c | 318.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 47c | 314$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 63c | 288.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 277.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 26c | 265.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 72c | 262.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 27c | 256$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 71c | 240.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 39c | 239.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 43c | 236.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 227.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 25c | 225.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 29c | 222.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 213.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Over | 72c | 206.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 201.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 28c | 198.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 34c | 179.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 70c | 148.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 40c | 141.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Over | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 56c | 129.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 30c | 127.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 118.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 25c | 114.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 17c | 113.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 74c | 105.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 103$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 57c | 102.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Over | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 39c | 100.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 71c | 98.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 22c | 97.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 39c | 91.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 57c | 87.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 75.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 38c | 69.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.