TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sporting Kansas Cityof St. Louis City SC, Sporting Kansas City
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,790 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis City SC21c3,468$746 inLost-$745.5299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea97…5ac0backed Sporting Kansas City46c2,166$1,000 inWon+$1,166.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed St. Louis City SC14c1,905$263 inLost-$262.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis City SC6c1,351$81 inLost-$81.061,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis City SC10c913$91 inLost-$91.31,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed St. Louis City SC3c733$22 inLost-$21.9952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed St. Louis City SC39c730$285 inLost-$284.74062.5%25 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Sporting Kansas City61c574.14$350 inWon+$223.9217137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked St. Louis City SC13c477$62 inLost-$62.013050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sporting Kansas City78c402.5$314 inWon+$88.551,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis City SC16c341.48$55 inLost-$54.751,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis City SC6c256$15 inLost-$15.3680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed St. Louis City SC31c109.93$34 inLost-$33.7298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed St. Louis City SC24c62.5$15 inLost-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis City SC25c46$11 inLost-$11.3420449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sporting Kansas City49c34$17 inWon+$17.3430444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Sporting Kansas City73c22.82$17 inWon+$6.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sporting Kansas City76c21$16 inWon+$5.0932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sporting Kansas City73c18.52$14 inWon+$51,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Sporting Kansas City73c16.17$12 inWon+$4.371050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.