TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sporting Kansas Cityof St. Louis City SC, Sporting Kansas City
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Sporting Kansas City57c3,569$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.6198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed St. Louis City SC58c2,671$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.7418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis City SC41c2,639$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.7399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Sporting Kansas City30c2,552$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.1219172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sporting Kansas City61c2,432$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.011,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Sporting Kansas City66c2,294$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.261533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Sporting Kansas City57c1,763$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed St. Louis City SC49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis City SC50c1,223$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.933,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sporting Kansas City55c1,195$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.2152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis City SC23c1,177$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.071,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis City SC50c954.68$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed St. Louis City SC44c805.44$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed St. Louis City SC45c799$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5532848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed St. Louis City SC43c785$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.592860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked St. Louis City SC33c756.7$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis City SC63c747.84$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.731,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Sporting Kansas City65c651.05$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.251877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Sporting Kansas City28c618.54$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.354062.5%25 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed St. Louis City SC45c565.07$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked St. Louis City SC45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Sporting Kansas City55c532.22$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Sporting Kansas City55c478.54$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked St. Louis City SC15c460.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked St. Louis City SC52c370.39$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Sporting Kansas City67c359.41$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8925652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sporting Kansas City63c358.79$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Sporting Kansas City45c337.04$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1920252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Sporting Kansas City57c325.01$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.526546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked St. Louis City SC20c317.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3822841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis City SC42c271.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.721,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed St. Louis City SC45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed St. Louis City SC45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked St. Louis City SC65c218$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.822269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed St. Louis City SC44c199.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.61825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed St. Louis City SC45c166.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.981921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed St. Louis City SC67c163.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.776563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis City SC43c149.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.520449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Sporting Kansas City58c148.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.916250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis City SC16c137$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed St. Louis City SC50c125.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.522846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sporting Kansas City38c124.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed St. Louis City SC17c123.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1723350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed St. Louis City SC16c123$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9114560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed St. Louis City SC51c110.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8412058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked St. Louis City SC45c108.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.73050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Sporting Kansas City56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed St. Louis City SC50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Sporting Kansas City38c96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7414549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Sporting Kansas City55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed St. Louis City SC52c84.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.699250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed St. Louis City SC50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sporting Kansas City75c77.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis City SC72c75.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0717137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed St. Louis City SC44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed St. Louis City SC40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.151553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed St. Louis City SC41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.932272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed St. Louis City SC45c50.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.593250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Sporting Kansas City60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Sporting Kansas City68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed St. Louis City SC46c48.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis City SC42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dbb…bec7backed St. Louis City SC45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Sporting Kansas City37c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9482044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed St. Louis City SC42c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.061,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed St. Louis City SC45c41.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Sporting Kansas City52c39.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.942850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed St. Louis City SC37c35.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0912551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Sporting Kansas City56c33.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis City SC38c32.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2612951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Sporting Kansas City62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.265259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed St. Louis City SC44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25738.6%22 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked St. Louis City SC44c29.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sporting Kansas City57c23.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Sporting Kansas City57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.052454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Sporting Kansas City55c18.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.342676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Sporting Kansas City78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.525862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Sporting Kansas City75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked St. Louis City SC73c14.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.