TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9910945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c8,263$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.591,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Over47c5,623$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c4,686$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.621,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under23c4,447$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.476339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08032848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over57c3,665$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c3,190$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.6771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under47c3,004$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.2798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over78c2,637$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.8122269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under18c2,452$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.6952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c2,142$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.9670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd30…6b15backed Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over49c1,975$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0132138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,937$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.933,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under53c1,814$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,747$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.481,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c1,686$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.1172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c1,633$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c1,462$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9933346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over78c1,445$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0818774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over74c1,346$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.137974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under15c822.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c721$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over62c696$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.481020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c639.56$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under23c623.97$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.821,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31826450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over80c566.27$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over74c508$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.643253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under55c472.01$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under51c447.44$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.193234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c444.26$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under12c408.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0212839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8325652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over69c337.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.786460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.441,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c301.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over75c292.02$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.521573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under56c261$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.161080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c256$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1227047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under21c237.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1219056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under10c234.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over60c230.48$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.932669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under30c226.34$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over80c225.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0823953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under18c224$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2914549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.56124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under23c196.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2720252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over55c181$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4520660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over56c181$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6416856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over49c149.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over49c114.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.34639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over48c101$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c100.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.520449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under16c95.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4719641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over79c77.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over60c77.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5610957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.637955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over58c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under53c69.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.563154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over43c65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0523350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x757c…d1bfbacked Under52c58.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3714560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under29c52.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over71c52.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under52c52.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0216744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Over76c44.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1219960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under67c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Under53c30.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.953250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35738.6%22 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under53c28.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c25.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed Over74c19.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over73c13.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.74163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.