Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6269e5d2b651869431ac15d9bee6901b3fbc689ade4bd96be96b83e9c2238f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb340…1ad1backed Under | 72c | 6,952$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 5,858$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 38c | 4,930$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.38 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 7c | 3,365$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 3,084$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.08 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 3,083$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.05 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 66c | 2,029$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.5 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 13c | 1,905$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Over | 28c | 1,760$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 34c | 1,610$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.78 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 62c | 1,608$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 1,489$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…5c2fbacked Under | 76c | 1,313$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 23c | 1,118$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Under | 67c | 744.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 569.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over | 20c | 550$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Over | 30c | 507.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…4938backed Under | 71c | 441.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 28c | 414$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 60c | 391.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 362.61$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 21c | 360$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 71c | 344.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…c187backed Under | 67c | 223.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 222.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 80c | 203.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 34c | 154.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 147.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 145.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 16c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0cf2backed Over | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 37c | 45.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 69c | 34.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 73c | 32.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 76c | 27.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 26.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…554abacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 72c | 22.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.