Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba76b2bd13e1def934710d31ca5476fcf9f0df09b294008dd758a948395420a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11dd…f832backed No | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed No | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 1,302$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.45 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 1,220$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.04 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,130$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 954.2$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 37c | 295.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 174.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 62c | 161.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 150.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 37c | 122.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 13c | 82.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 62c | 73.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 61.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 41.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…1120backed Yes | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.