Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5ee621feef44a5b2b9e80a833f721a1d9de135cb11e89b201d857e43cdd4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,068$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.38 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 1,489$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.74 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 492.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 464$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 390.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 38c | 269.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 37c | 243.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked No | 53c | 189.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 189.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked No | 40c | 123.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 62c | 122.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 25c | 84.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 80.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…8527backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…e716backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 53.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 24c | 52.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 59c | 51.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 62c | 41.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 40.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 38.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed No | 57c | 34.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 34.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked No | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.