Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd7c36a9ec88a3efe7ecbcf922879b123585e65ea163cb1d7ef341aa649b541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 6,106$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 5,005$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 5c | 3,827$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 36c | 2,688$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.66 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 2,190$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 809.41$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 809.41$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 70c | 590.61$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 485.57$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 36c | 479.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Over | 33c | 247.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 60c | 203.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…da1fbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 79c | 124.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 102.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 33c | 102.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 35c | 89.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 32c | 67.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 33c | 62.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 41c | 61.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 62c | 56.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 35c | 50.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 71c | 38.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 38.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 65c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Under | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…a4e4backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.