TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin Zhu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leolia Jeanjeanof Leolia Jeanjean, Lin Zhu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Leolia Jeanjean43c10,505$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.094,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lin Zhu52c9,055$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,742.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae5c…5df7backed Lin Zhu51c8,857$4,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,516.867248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Lin Zhu32c8,025$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5687236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed Leolia Jeanjean69c7,704$5,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.393056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Leolia Jeanjean53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41030339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Lin Zhu61c2,623$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.536545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Leolia Jeanjean23c2,043$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.9418947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lin Zhu41c1,779$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.678,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Leolia Jeanjean11c1,691$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.919737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Lin Zhu77c1,689$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d6…513fbacked Lin Zhu55c1,328$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lin Zhu61c1,130$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.638,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Lin Zhu63c1,036$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.737851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Leolia Jeanjean37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Leolia Jeanjean44c966.4$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.411435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Lin Zhu34c897.09$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.411,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Lin Zhu35c820.89$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3174743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lin Zhu66c819.87$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.041,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Leolia Jeanjean52c750.3$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.743,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Leolia Jeanjean45c726.73$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.971,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Leolia Jeanjean24c667.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2548941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Leolia Jeanjean34c649.94$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.961,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lin Zhu75c625.48$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.064,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Leolia Jeanjean20c499.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9923738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Leolia Jeanjean37c486.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.491,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed Leolia Jeanjean76c475$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11411433.3%38 W · 76 L-25.1wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Lin Zhu16c410$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Leolia Jeanjean44c402.48$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4925240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Lin Zhu80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Leolia Jeanjean27c309.64$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.442,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Leolia Jeanjean63c256.53$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.284,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Lin Zhu4c254.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Leolia Jeanjean31c227.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8527139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Lin Zhu55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11051744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Lin Zhu35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lin Zhu21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lin Zhu42c199.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.831,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Lin Zhu66c179.59$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5344349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Lin Zhu80c179$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Leolia Jeanjean40c172.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Leolia Jeanjean36c165.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.912,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Leolia Jeanjean41c129.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.273,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Lin Zhu57c127.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7253736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Leolia Jeanjean45c126.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4731347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Leolia Jeanjean41c124.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.393,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Lin Zhu56c122.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.430644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Lin Zhu25c111.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.811,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Lin Zhu32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212441.1%51 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Lin Zhu32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3233134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Leolia Jeanjean47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5319142.4%81 W · 110 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Leolia Jeanjean44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.991,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Lin Zhu77c99.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.892,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Leolia Jeanjean18c99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.184,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Leolia Jeanjean40c97.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.543144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Leolia Jeanjean45c97.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.086552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Lin Zhu48c91.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.067548%36 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Leolia Jeanjean79c87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2750268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Leolia Jeanjean42c83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9710958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Lin Zhu31c78.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.124348.1%117 W · 126 L-25.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Lin Zhu56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Leolia Jeanjean39c68.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4839648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Leolia Jeanjean33c66.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.225,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5429…83c2backed Leolia Jeanjean31c64.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0920128.4%57 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Leolia Jeanjean26c63.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8170254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Lin Zhu80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5096049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Leolia Jeanjean44c59.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7363537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd8…f00bbacked Lin Zhu22c53.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.852934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de1…e01bbacked Leolia Jeanjean30c53.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.333531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Leolia Jeanjean42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8633754%182 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Leolia Jeanjean39c48.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.632,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Leolia Jeanjean41c46.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.244138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Leolia Jeanjean36c45.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Leolia Jeanjean31c45.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5933550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Lin Zhu66c45.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Leolia Jeanjean28c43.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.261,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166f…632abacked Lin Zhu26c42.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111437.7%43 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Leolia Jeanjean52c40.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4151736.9%191 W · 326 L-39.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Leolia Jeanjean34c39.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3926837.3%100 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lin Zhu53c38.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.566,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Leolia Jeanjean49c38.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4217660.2%106 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Leolia Jeanjean41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Leolia Jeanjean41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5956337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Lin Zhu80c35.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.092,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Leolia Jeanjean37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3642350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9907backed Lin Zhu48c31.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4936…38a6backed Lin Zhu71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46451.6%33 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Lin Zhu69c29.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.622,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…4421backed Lin Zhu48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Leolia Jeanjean42c29.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Leolia Jeanjean44c27.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2545564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Lin Zhu71c26.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1633062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Lin Zhu71c25.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Lin Zhu59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4224…31fbbacked Lin Zhu48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222138.9%86 W · 135 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Lin Zhu48c24.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5124858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda24…7e54backed Lin Zhu57c22.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.574153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Lin Zhu68c18.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6430755%169 W · 138 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.