IPO · resolved market
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d072fff14f840043344a45128b715c82dd4eb04f6be94ce79555fb340ce4d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x731a…033fbacked Yes | 78c | 11,645$9,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 4c | 1,600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +689.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 1,462$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 56c | 1,183$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 27c | 1,101$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…60d6backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 26c | 931.63$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Yes | 51c | 924.36$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 41c | 902$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…1e42backed No | 3c | 800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…3717backed Yes | 80c | 552.63$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 51c | 545.09$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 5c | 538.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 51c | 511.73$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 32c | 486.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…51c8backed Yes | 48c | 469.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 44c | 460.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 22c | 425.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 52c | 405.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked No | 17c | 399.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed No | 28c | 390$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…5d95backed Yes | 80c | 381.25$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 31c | 305.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 79c | 286.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 47c | 270.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 241.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 43c | 222.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 84 | 1.2%1 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -98.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…8ae6backed No | 23c | 219.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked No | 40c | 216.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c5…e321backed No | 19c | 203.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…5060backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…3a26backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…4f01backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…e2acbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…1200backed Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539b…624cbacked No | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 28c | 196.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 59c | 191.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…04d4backed No | 22c | 190.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 65c | 170.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 31c | 150.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…dadabacked No | 13c | 149$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 33c | 148.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 142.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…6731backed Yes | 80c | 138.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…0c29backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…7849backed Yes | 79c | 136.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…dde9backed Yes | 80c | 132.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked No | 19c | 127.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…a40abacked Yes | 80c | 118.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…6396backed Yes | 44c | 114.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Yes | 46c | 108.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…0c20backed No | 19c | 104.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 48c | 103.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…79ffbacked Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 18c | 99.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…d82abacked No | 72c | 98.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…68e0backed Yes | 23c | 97.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 95.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -16.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…7aedbacked Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 94.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…2555backed Yes | 31c | 89.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Yes | 31c | 87.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 30c | 86.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 19c | 84.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 81.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…691bbacked Yes | 59c | 78.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed No | 42c | 71.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 35c | 70.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f25…940dbacked No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 50c | 67.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 60c | 65.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 39c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 66c | 52.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 59c | 51.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 59c | 48.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 73c | 48.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.52per pick | 39cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 72c | 40.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 39.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 43c | 38.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…9c25backed Yes | 75c | 38.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes | 27c | 37.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed Yes | 27c | 37.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 37.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -16.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…aa13backed Yes | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 76c | 37.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 32 | 93.8%30 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 73cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?this page
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?Yes won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.