IPO · resolved market
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a19066f173238a0c300e19135963b26a73a0ad9bdf865a58a1ced148d9edb3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked No | 35c | 2,796$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 36c | 2,021$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 1,902$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.75 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 46c | 1,885$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8238…ca37backed No | 38c | 1,685$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 10c | 1,647$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked Yes | 6c | 1,426$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,215$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 1,211$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,186$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 84 | 1.2%1 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -98.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 40c | 911.12$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.13 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 47c | 767$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Yes | 18c | 751.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 18c | 730.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 726.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 724.12$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked No | 39c | 680.89$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b965backed Yes | 11c | 668.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 80c | 661.55$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Yes | 59c | 642.26$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 8c | 577.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +165%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 79c | 576$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…b94fbacked No | 38c | 564.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 556.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -16.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 52c | 513.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 23c | 425.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…e56abacked No | 35c | 421$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…0ca7backed No | 35c | 417.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 47c | 414.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 67c | 399.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed No | 37c | 378.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…4a55backed No | 35c | 366.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 13c | 354.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed No | 33c | 350$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…a7dabacked Yes | 58c | 343.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 14c | 302.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…dad6backed No | 35c | 283.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…dbccbacked No | 36c | 280.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…7c25backed No | 35c | 278.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…6396backed Yes | 22c | 274.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…22c5backed No | 35c | 274.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…bf98backed No | 35c | 274$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 68c | 269$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 265.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…783cbacked Yes | 26c | 260$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…61a9backed Yes | 40c | 253.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 51c | 253.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 9c | 252$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…7ee6backed Yes | 67c | 249.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 16c | 243.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…b5c4backed No | 35c | 238.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed No | 79c | 235.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…73eabacked No | 35c | 234.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…4b0abacked Yes | 62c | 233.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 56c | 226.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 215.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…2a01backed Yes | 7c | 214.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde8…b3d3backed Yes | 62c | 213.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 36c | 211.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 11c | 202.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…ca4cbacked Yes | 57c | 199.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d5…2979backed Yes | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…e913backed Yes | 61c | 193.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 192.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…96d9backed Yes | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 16c | 181.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…7faabacked Yes | 65c | 181.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 29c | 178$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +214.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5561…5fc0backed Yes | 65c | 177.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…758bbacked Yes | 64c | 177.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab94…1a0dbacked Yes | 65c | 177.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579f…6a08backed Yes | 65c | 176.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…afd9backed Yes | 65c | 175.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…6979backed Yes | 63c | 174.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…19debacked Yes | 65c | 173.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…8b69backed Yes | 65c | 173$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…2d63backed Yes | 65c | 169.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked Yes | 13c | 169.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…8726backed Yes | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…4e76backed Yes | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…c1e4backed Yes | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f6…4a09backed Yes | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…0caabacked Yes | 64c | 169.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301b…374fbacked Yes | 64c | 165.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 23c | 163.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 163.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…fe88backed Yes | 64c | 160.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb54…f993backed No | 59c | 159.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…1b71backed Yes | 66c | 159.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…6332backed Yes | 66c | 159.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 14c | 158.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…ec02backed Yes | 65c | 158.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…ee69backed Yes | 61c | 157.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…d1c7backed Yes | 64c | 156.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…c671backed Yes | 60c | 152.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c93…547cbacked Yes | 65c | 152.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 36c | 152.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539b…624cbacked Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?this page
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?Yes won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?Yes won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No won
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.