TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over50c12,254$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,126.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c10,331$5,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,177.981,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under37c9,220$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.65540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c8,035$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,484.238,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under57c6,355$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.1211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c6,098$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.072,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over41c3,637$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.371,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over43c3,422$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.5430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under1c2,837$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under44c2,765$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.733458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over43c2,357$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.5220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c2,237$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.813,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over44c1,881$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.4229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under50c1,637$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under65c1,602$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under7c1,575$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2711025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over32c1,471$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.993129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under50c1,441$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.796553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under56c1,426$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.685837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under61c1,420$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.1232139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.649148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over51c1,200$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58920046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.951844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over35c1,143$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.541283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+147.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under48c1,130$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c1,127$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.591,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under77c864.13$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.3810364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under72c824.74$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.637742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Under60c810.82$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c764.06$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.592,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under55c678.27$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5616051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c661.39$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.261,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over51c653.58$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.581330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over46c646$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.842982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over46c646$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.842885.7%24 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+139.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c614.19$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.241,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under58c612.58$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9635240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under60c610.5$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.332828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over33c590.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.572665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over24c575$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43719135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c543.24$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under60c539.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.077248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under4c536.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under14c522.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.816230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over45c507.61$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.387342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over49c494.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3812755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over61c475.98$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.462944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under58c466.67$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.918743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c466.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.211,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under46c457.19$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.15841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over38c450$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.512933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over39c448$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.382969%20 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+112.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Over51c444$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c433.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.42,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over45c412.6$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.66162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb20d…83aebacked Under50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over46c402.17$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1722145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over50c400.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.433151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under51c373.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.334153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over42c350.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.051,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over42c349.57$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under16c348.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7129047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c336.12$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.421,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under47c316.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.998755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under7c310$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over53c300$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c299.93$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.661,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under8c286.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.895230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c286.62$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.222,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over43c278.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under25c270.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.023633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under56c269.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c267.69$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5366837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under54c259.31$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over40c221$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.868554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c213.71$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.191,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over35c209.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9226965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082119%4 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over18c194.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.444542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c190.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.241,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over57c185.11$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.716250%31 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c184.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.692,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under37c164.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8713850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over48c159$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.261,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over66c136.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.363076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.