South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcaeda2a65a4823a098872b6c46c681b85ce34d9445baaa434b9fa0242fbc17c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Under | 1c | 9,072$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 37c | 7,063$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.4 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 72c | 4,360$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.03 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 7c | 4,229$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 1,294$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 47c | 1,059$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 64c | 902.51$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.47 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 40c | 899.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 62c | 815.51$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 72c | 688.41$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.27 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 57c | 625.5$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 41c | 535.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.69 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Over | 62c | 448.58$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 396.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 37c | 377.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 40c | 306.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Over | 36c | 274.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 239.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 65c | 214.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 192.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 69c | 181.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 41c | 179.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 58c | 166.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 100.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Over | 31c | 95.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 26c | 75.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 28c | 67.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Over | 48c | 53.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 58c | 48.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 62c | 46.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Under | 52c | 39.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 65c | 37.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 57c | 36.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Under | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 37c | 29.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 22.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 79c | 17.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Botafogo FR O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Santos FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.