South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6b132b2dccf1ee9a92bb60e1a65681fccda62b7cd4232d83b835a7b645eb8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 11c | 4,083$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.83 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 2,664$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 25c | 1,873$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 1,709$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 21c | 1,508$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.93 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 13c | 1,474$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 15c | 1,333$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 5c | 1,135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 917.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 902.42$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 721.78$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Over | 66c | 600.66$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 20c | 564.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 76c | 554.92$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…3fcbbacked Under | 2c | 519.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 75c | 476.19$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Over | 76c | 460.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 17c | 428.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 13c | 412.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 79c | 402.76$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 395.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 31c | 393.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 19c | 378.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 349.48$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 4c | 346.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 72c | 277.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 13c | 275.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 80c | 202$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 77c | 176$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 27c | 168.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Over | 73c | 137.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 72c | 126.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Over | 76c | 123.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 13c | 116.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 112.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 66c | 112.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…4938backed Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 90.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 76c | 85.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 74.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 72c | 66.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 71c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Over | 53c | 55.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 75c | 46.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 66c | 45.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 76c | 45.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 74c | 45.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80a…c7b1backed Over | 76c | 41.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Under | 25c | 40.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 73c | 18.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Botafogo FR O/U 0.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Botafogo FR O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Santos FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.